WN 1450 · SJC → LGB

departs 4:11 PM PT · arrives 5:39 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from SJC are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGB that day

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1450 · SJC → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?