WN 1476 · DAL → TUL

departs 9:16 AM CT · arrives 10:36 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

TUL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1476 · DAL → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?