WN 1499 · HNL → LIH

departs 1:33 PM HT · arrives 2:30 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.35 in

LIH (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1499 · HNL → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?