WN 1507 · RSW → MKE

departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 12:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts44 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.79 in

MKE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1507 · RSW → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?