Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1526 · DTW → BWI
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 9/30 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7.33333 mi Precip 0.14 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.