WN 1543 · DEN → BNA

departs 6:01 AM MT · arrives 9:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1543 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?