WN 1571 · CMH → MDW

departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 4:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1571 · CMH → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?