WN 1591 · PHX → DAL

departs 11:43 AM MT · arrives 4:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1591 · PHX → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?