WN 1594 · LGB → SJC

departs 11:16 AM PT · arrives 12:42 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ 11am departures from LGB are usually not late

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGB that day

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1594 · LGB → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?