Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1596 · DEN → MCO
departs 7:45 PM MT · arrives 1:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.