WN 15 · BWI → DAL

departs 7:11 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 15 · BWI → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?