WN 160 · SAT → DEN

departs 1:41 PM CT · arrives 2:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from SAT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling540 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip3.40 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 160 · SAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?