WN 1648 · MCI → BOS

departs 8:21 AM CT · arrives 12:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1648 · MCI → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?