Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1692 · DEN → RDU
departs 7:20 PM MT · arrives 12:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±10 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 55% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.