WN 1692 · MCI → BWI

departs 5:51 PM CT · arrives 9:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.67 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1692 · MCI → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?