Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1715 · FLL → BNA
departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
3pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.