WN 1721 · SXM → MCO

departs 3:06 PM AST · arrives 6:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SXM (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1721 · SXM → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?