Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 173
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 173 · ANC → DEN
departs 10:25 PM AKT · arrives 5:35 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ANC that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.