Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1755
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1755 · LAS → DSM
departs 11:00 AM PT · arrives 4:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Wed 9/30 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 20%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
DSM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DSM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.