WN 1756 · LGB → PDX

departs 4:31 PM PT · arrives 7:04 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1756 · LGB → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?