Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1768 · DEN → TYS
departs 2:20 PM MT · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TYS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.