WN 1777 · HOU → DEN

departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 4:13 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1777 · HOU → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?