Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1795 · PHX → ELP
departs 3:25 PM MT · arrives 5:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 34%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ELP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.