Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1863
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1863 · FLL → IND
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 12:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.