WN 188 · AUS → AMA

departs 11:46 AM CT · arrives 1:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AMA that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip1.25 in

AMA (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling1,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 188 · AUS → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?