WN 1894 · DAL → OAK

departs 5:26 PM CT · arrives 7:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at OAK that day

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1894 · DAL → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?