WN 1897 · DAL → AMA

departs 12:47 PM CT · arrives 2:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ AMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

AMA (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,180 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1897 · DAL → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?