Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1903 · HNL → ITO
departs 8:55 AM HT · arrives 9:55 AM HT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3 3%
Sun 10/4 4%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↑
ITO is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into ITO at that hour are usually not late
↓
8am departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.10 in
ITO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.