Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1913
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1913 · HNL → LAS
departs 8:00 AM HT · arrives 4:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 9/30 12%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
↓
8am departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.27 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.