WN 1927 · FLL → MDW

departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 3:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1927 · FLL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?