WN 1930 · FLL → PIT

departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 10:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1930 · FLL → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?