WN 1931 · FLL → SJU

departs 5:26 PM ET · arrives 8:09 PM AT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ 5pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1931 · FLL → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?