WN 1944 · GRR → BNA

departs 2:46 PM ET · arrives 3:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from GRR are often late

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.77 in

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1944 · GRR → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?