WN 197 · LAS → HOU

departs 5:06 AM PT · arrives 10:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from LAS are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 197 · LAS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?