Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1989 · HOU → IND
departs 8:55 PM CT · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.