WN 19 · BWI → BDL

departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 8:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BDL that day

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 19 · BWI → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?