WN 1 · DAL → HOU

departs 6:53 AM CT · arrives 8:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.59 in

HOU (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1 · DAL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?