WN 2073 · HOU → MAF

departs 6:01 PM CT · arrives 7:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

MAF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2073 · HOU → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?