Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2077
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2077 · HOU → SDF
departs 11:15 AM CT · arrives 2:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+37 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +37 pts in 24h
+37 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
SDF usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.