Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2091 · HOU → TUL
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 4:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 37%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
75%
chance · ±0 pts
+40 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
75%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
3pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.