Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2116 · MCO → TYS
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 1:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
12pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.