WN 2131 · MDW → CLE

departs 7:46 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

CLE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2131 · MDW → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?