WN 2137 · DEN → MCO

departs 3:32 PM MT · arrives 9:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2137 · DEN → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?