Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2148 · ITO → HNL
departs 6:00 AM HT · arrives 7:00 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 2%
Sat 10/3 2%
Sun 10/4 1%
Mon 10/5 2%
Tue 10/6 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
2%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ITO are usually not late
Weather at each end
ITO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.