Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2163 · LAS → BUR
departs 8:45 PM PT · arrives 9:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 48%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 6%
Fri 10/9 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Arrivals into BUR at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BUR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.