Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2183
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2183 · LAS → AUS
departs 3:00 PM PT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.