WN 2213 · MDW → BOS

departs 3:31 PM CT · arrives 6:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ BOS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2213 · MDW → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?