Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2277
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2277 · HNL → PHX
departs 9:00 PM HT · arrives 5:55 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.19 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.