Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2288 · MCI → LAS
departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 9:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.64 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.