Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 232 · ATL → MDW
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±8 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.89 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.